Florida International University: Master of Arts in Global Affairs (2022)
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(Global Food Production)
All publications at Global Affairs with Greg Ayres exclusively reflect the personal opinion’s of the author, and in no way are indicative of U.S. Government positions, policy or thinking. All content is generated exclusively from unclassified open source intelligence. @ Greg Ayres, Editor 1/3/2022
As the G-20 meets in Italy to discuss corporate tax standardization, Jose Garcia and I address the fixed and political nature of G-20 membership. We draft an additional 10 nations to form a G-30 and discuss the benefits and challenges inherent to updating and expansion. Adding geographic diversity, incorporating developing economies, and managing political considerations we outline our hypothetical G-30.
Looking at the FBI’s 120 most wanted Cyber Criminals reveals the scope of threat faced by the U.S. When all but 1 of the 120 are foreign nationals the FBI must play second fiddle to U.S. foreign relations and negotiations. I explore the intersection of diplomacy and cyber-crime in this weeks article Cyber Crime and the FBI’s Most Wanted
In an ever changing world we must constantly challenge our existing belief sets. New facts create new realities and continuing to operate with outdated beliefs is not only dangerous but foolish. In 8 Nagging Realities for 2021, I discuss a number of traditional beliefs that need to be challenged or updated.
Geopolitics of the 4th and 5th Generation: The production and export of modern fighter jets has long been the scene of an intense geopolitical competition. Technological dominance and the threat of sanctions have elevated American dominance in the export of air power. Access to U.S. fighters has been an effective inducement for the maintaining alliances and shaping international behavior.
Geopolitics of the 4th and 5th Generation (New Article!)
Complexities of Diplomacy at Sea: As the United States monitors a potential arms shipment of 7 fast attack torpedo boats to Venezuela aboard a military convoy what are the Biden administrations options? (Article available for download below)
Historical Academic Papers
Naval Force & Diplomacy: Impact of U.S. and Russian Navies in Libya
The Libyan Civil War has long been plagued by foreign actors, with limited ground assets naval power has greatly shaped outcomes in the sparsely populated desert nation. Libya has played a role in Russia’s growing naval power projection in the Mediterranean and beyond.
Rebuilding Iraq following the 2003 coalition invasion was a monumental task. Enormous volumes have been written on the failures by the United States and their coalition partners. Their were failures both within Iraq and Washington D.C. that contributed to sectarian violence, unfinished infrastructure projects, and internal political grievances. Iraq’s fledgling democracy would also require internal changes, changes that would be solidified for future generations by a rebuilt education system. Exploring the successes and failures Iraq’s new education system can provide powerful insights into the nation and the very essence of reconstruction.
The Cold War was fought along many fault lines: Military, Political, and Economic. The United States agricultural dominance allowed for excess grain production, a pivotal tool in leveraging both allies and foes. Examining the various agricultural policies and “Grain Diplomacy” decisions yields interesting insight into core economic factors that eventually led to American preeminence and Soviet collapse.
How will food security impact future powers?
Chile’s economic success is a standout story in Latin America. Leaving the economic principles of the Chicago Boys as sacrosanct, even to the most liberal of Chile’s rulers. With the riots of 2019, and constitutional changes on the way we are well served to look back at Chile’s economic and political history. By analyzing the key events and their impact on Chile’s largest economic sectors we can better understand the future. Chile’s handling of Covid-19 has been impressive by South American standards, and record high commodity prices will help, but domestic political challenges persist.